Exciting New Year for Space Elevators - Where are we?

This year is already amazing - hundreds of millions of vaccinations are being administered - we are locked down within our homes; but, hope is surfacing with the realization that help is on the way.  Of course we also have lots of time to think - maybe even about Space Elevators - again.  Here are some of my insights of where we are at the beginning of 2021 (several will be expanded in future blog entries):

·      There is a material for the tether that is "coming out of the lab" that can be provided long enough and strong enough in a roll-to-roll process. (see webinar by Adrian Nixon on www.isec.org)

·      Recent studies have shown that using Space Elevators enables trips to Mars with surprising characteristics:  flights as short as 61 days, release towards Mars every day of the year (no 26 month waiting), and massive tonnage each year to Mars (170,000 tonnes). (these are the results of an Arizona State University and ISEC study discussions in "Space Elevators are the Transportation Story of the 21st Century" - available www.isec.org pdf free)

·      The latest ISEC study has determined that, indeed, Space Elevators are the Green Road to Space because:  1) electricity from the Sun's energy raises cargo from the ocean's surface to GEO, and 2) the massive cargo delivered to GEO and beyond enables Earth friendly missions such as Space Solar Power (report to be released in March).  

·      The current ISEC study is analyzing the puzzling engineering challenges of a new tether material with vertical tether climbing cargo carriers.  This engineering study is progressing rapidly with a preliminary conclusion that there will be a climbability condition that will enable space elevators to successfully move massive cargo loads to GEO and beyond.

·      Our new Space Elevator vision matches those driving humanity off-planet such as Mr. Bezos's statement that he is "building the Road to Space" so the next generation will have "Millions of people living and working in space."  Our vision illustrates our ability to provide a second lane in that road to space - a Green Road. (see vision at our website)

·      A new strategy has surfaced with all the results from our recent studies and plans for movement off-planet by so many nations and commercial ventures.  The Space Elevator Strategy, leveraging its tremendous movement of cargo tonnage, is to join advanced rockets in the support for these visions and ventures.  It is a  compatible and complementary space elevator infrastructure called Dual Space Access Architecture.  With this strategy, it is natural to plan for: Rockets to open up the Moon and Mars with Space Elevators to supply and grow the colonies.

·      Our body of knowledge, a remarkable openly available resource, has twelve 18-month study reports, over 800 references to space elevator research, descriptions of modern day architectures, a look at the current baseline (and the last seven), over 35 notes about architectural engineering of our mega-project, multiple webinars on current topics, and access to our last several years of newsletters.  This new website was developed to be the "go to location" for modern day Space Elevators.

·      Recent analyses has shown that our Initial Operational Capable Space Elevator permanent infrastructure will provide more mass to GEO (and beyond) - 30,000 tonnes - in one year than all the mass placed into orbit between 1957 and 2020 - 22,000 tonnes.  

 We are on the edge of starting engineering testing and hope to soon join the amazing movement off planet.  With the capability of tonnage to GEO and beyond that cannot be matched with the rocket equation, there is a great need for space elevator permanent infrastructures.  Indeed, the reusability and increase in launches of future rockets will lower the cost of launch, but not the efficiency of beating gravity.  The Space Elevator story is still being written. The Apex Anchor is where the Space Elevator meets the Shoreline of Outer-Space and where the Transportation Story of the 21st Century meets the Final Frontier. 

 

Space Elevators will Enable Dreams of Others

Dreaming of the future leads to stated visions that will then lead to programs developing dreams.  This process has been around forever; however, for the future of movement off planet, this dreaming has been accelerating the last 200 years.  During the last 63 years recognition surfaced on how hard it is to accomplish space based visions.  The difference in the last six months is that the Space Elevator can now  be developed as the material is finally available.  Just taking one dream illustrates the difficulty.  Mr. Musk has stated he needs 1 million tonnes of cargo to Mars.  His current plan is to have 100 tonnes per mission Starship.  However, he has also stated he needs four support launches for each mission Starship, for a total of five launches per flight to Mars.  This leads to 50,000 launches to fulfill his dream when using StarShips.

  Space Elevators will provide the capability of 170,000 tonnes per year to GEO and beyond when fully operational.  This results in fulfilling Mr. Musk's customer needs in approximately six years.  (see "Space Elevators are the Transportation Story of the 21st Century" - ISEC 18 month study report at www.isec.org )  The Colony on Mars can be established by StarShips in the near term and then movement of people by StarShip over time.  However, the massive logistics tonnage needed on the surface will be supplied by Space Elevators, in a strategy called Dual Space Access Architecture combined with advanced rockets in a complementary manner to achieve the dreams of a Martian Colony.  A few other visions that can be enabled by massive movement of cargo to support customer needs would be:

 National Space Society Vision; “People living and working in thriving communities beyond the Earth, and the use of the vast resources of space for the dramatic betterment of humanity.”

Blue Origin's Visions: "Millions of people living and working in space" and

   "I am going to build the road to space." (Mr. Bezos)

 SpaceX's Vision: "Making Humanity Multi-planetary,"  

NASA has the Artemis Program for female boots on the Moon by 2024. 

"ESA Director General Jan Wörner and NASA Administrator Jim Bridenstine have signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) to take Europe to the Moon."  (ESA Announcement 28 Oct 2020).

Conclusion: Space Elevators will Enable Dreams of Others!

NEW Space Elevator Vision

We have developed a new vision to respond to the fascinating visions of so many. Here it is:

Space Elevators are the Green Road to Space while they enable humanity's most important missions by moving massive tonnage to GEO and beyond.  They accomplish this  safely, routinely, inexpensively, and daily; while, they are environmentally neutral.